Those who are brave (foolish?) But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Thats a pretty good trip. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Same to all of us. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist One in 2,000. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. On one try. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. But lets make it longer. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. That's 150,000 generations. So whats the probability of your existing? Now things start getting interesting. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Step 4. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Step 3. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Based on the data from the CDC . Thats a ridiculously huge number. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. So far, so good. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Then the probability of Mr. Now things start getting interesting. You have lived your life. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! This button displays the currently selected search type. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Part of HuffPost Wellness. But let's think about this some more. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Me neither. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). dr ali binazir odds of being born. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Are You a Miracle? Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Step 1. June 24, 2022 . You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Even if they couldn't read them yet. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. Are they gross exaggerations? *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Scripture says. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. You get the volume of planet Earth. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. So what's the probability of your being born? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Whoa. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Your email address will not be published. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. But on all probability it would. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. saving. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. I would call that a personal relationship with God. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). On one try. On one try.. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Or stalk me (with love.). dr ali binazir odds of being born. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Are they gross exaggerations? The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. bridgewater ma police log 2021,